Trends and variations of tropical cyclone precipitation contributions in the Indochina Peninsula

Abstract

This study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the influence of tropical cyclones on precipitation variations in Indochina, examining Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia, while exploring their connection with evolving climatic variables. Covering a span of four decades (1979–2021) and integrating daily precipitation records with climatic datasets, the research elucidates tropical cyclone’s contributions to the annual precipitation across distinct regions, revealing percentages of 27%, 16%, and 6% in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia, respectively. Spatial distribution mapping highlights concentrated intensities in central Vietnam, central Laos, and southern Cambodia. Additionally, an upward trend in Vietnam’s precipitation, as a representative measure of the entire region, is observed over the study duration, while its variability exhibits marginal correlations with inter-annual and decadal-scale climatic indices. The upward trend aligns with increased precipitable water over Indochina and open oceans, increased sea surface temperatures, reinforced atmospheric low-pressure systems, and intensified westerly wind patterns post-2000. These findings underscore the complex interplay between climate variables and Indochina’s precipitation dynamics, suggesting implications for disaster management and strategies to adapt to climate change. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Austria, part of Springer Nature 2024.